مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-04-13 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 16–5 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.12%1.51السعر العادل
EV -0.824%
الأفضلية -0.549%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.58%66.10%66.27%67.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.44%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.88%2.95السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -0.600%
Kelly -0.916%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.56%33.90%33.73%35.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.682.822.852.9037.31%35.43%35.09%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -0.824%E -0.549%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-13 14:59
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.76%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 22:05
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:30
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.81%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 21:10
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 21:40
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 05:24
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 22:30
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:40
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.48%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 14:54
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 22:35
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 01:05
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 09:40
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 04:05
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:04
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 10:45
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:29
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 23:04
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.11%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 11:14
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.77%E -4.80%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 22:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:34
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 20:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 22:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 20:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 66.07%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.93%-0.4%2026-04-13 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-04-13 22:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-12 21:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-13 22:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-04-13 22:40