Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-04-13 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 16–5 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 66.12%1.51odd justa
EV -0.824%
Vantagem -0.549%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.58%66.10%66.27%67.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.44%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 33.88%2.95odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.600%
Kelly -0.916%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%33.90%33.73%35.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.682.822.852.9037.31%35.43%35.09%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 66.12%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 33.88%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.51. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.50, com valor esperado de -0.824%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -0.824%E -0.549%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-13 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.76%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 22:05
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.81%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 21:10
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 05:24
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:40
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.48%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:39
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 09:40
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 04:05
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 10:45
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.11%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.77%E -4.80%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 22:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 66.07%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.93%-0.4%2026-04-13 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-04-13 22:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-12 21:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-13 22:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-04-13 22:40