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Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 61.51%1.63fair odd
EV -0.967%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.37%61.41%61.58%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.531.6167.57%64.81%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 38.49%2.60fair odd
EV +0.071%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.045%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.59%38.42%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6044.44%40.07%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 61.51%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 38.49%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.598. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.071%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.08%E -0.422%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.47%E -0.574%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.16%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -5.32%E -2.16%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.96%E -6.06%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.81%E -1.78%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -13.40%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-04-14 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-04-14 22:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |