La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-04-14 22:56 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 61.51%1.63momio equitativo
EV -0.967%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.37%61.41%61.58%62.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.531.6167.57%64.81%65.36%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 38.49%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.071%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.05%38.59%38.42%40.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.502.502.6044.44%40.07%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 21:35
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 21:15
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.08%E -0.422%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:15
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.47%E -0.574%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 12:15
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:05
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.16%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 20:14
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:50
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:44
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:10
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:41
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -5.32%E -2.16%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 22:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.96%E -6.06%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 07:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.81%E -1.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -13.40%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%-0.0%2026-04-14 22:35
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-14 22:31
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-04-14 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-04-14 22:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-04-14 22:55