L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 22:56 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 61.51%1.63cote équitable
EV -0.967%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.37%61.41%61.58%62.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.541.531.6167.57%64.81%65.36%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.49%2.60cote équitable
EV +0.071%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.045%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.59%38.42%40.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.502.502.6044.44%40.07%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 21:35
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 21:15
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.08%E -0.422%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:15
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.47%E -0.574%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 12:15
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:05
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.16%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 20:14
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:50
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:44
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:10
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:41
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -5.32%E -2.16%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 22:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.96%E -6.06%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 07:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.81%E -1.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -13.40%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%-0.0%2026-04-14 22:35
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-14 22:31
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-04-14 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-04-14 22:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-04-14 22:55