مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-04-14 22:56 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.51%1.63السعر العادل
EV -0.967%
الأفضلية -0.601%
Kelly -1.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.37%61.41%61.58%62.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.541.531.6167.57%64.81%65.36%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.49%2.60السعر العادل
EV +0.071%
الأفضلية +0.027%
Kelly +0.045%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.05%38.59%38.42%40.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.502.502.6044.44%40.07%40.00%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 21:35
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.071%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 21:15
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.08%E -0.422%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:15
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.47%E -0.574%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:35
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.12%E -4.71%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.85%E -0.727%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 12:15
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.24%E -0.881%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:05
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.28%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.62%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.39%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:39
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.16%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 20:14
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.16%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:50
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:44
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.55%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:10
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:41
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.967%E -0.601%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -5.32%E -2.16%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 22:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:30
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.70%E -2.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.04%E -2.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.86%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:29
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.58%E -0.989%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.96%E -6.06%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 07:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.81%E -1.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.27%E -3.42%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -13.40%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 22:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%-0.0%2026-04-14 22:35
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-14 22:31
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-04-14 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-14 22:45
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-04-14 22:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-04-14 22:55