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Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Pittsburgh Pirates (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.45%2.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.18%
Преимущество +0.843%
Kelly +1.37%
Рост +0.030%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.44%39.82%39.45%42.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.432.452.5945.45%41.17%40.82%38.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)
Прогноз 60.55%1.65справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.507%
Преимущество +0.306%
Kelly +0.769%
Рост +0.004%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.59%60.18%60.55%62.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.571.571.6665.36%63.54%63.69%60.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Pittsburgh Pirates (Хозяева): 39.45%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 60.55%. Для исхода «Pittsburgh Pirates (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.53. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.59, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.18%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.18%E +0.843%K +1.37%G +0.030% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.00%E +0.391%K +0.642%G +0.006% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.183%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 15:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.507%E +0.306%K +0.769%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 22:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -2.92%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.098%E -0.059%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 19:58 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |