A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-05-16 20:06 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 39.45%2.53odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +0.843%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%39.82%39.45%42.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.452.5945.45%41.17%40.82%38.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 60.55%1.65odd justa
EV +0.507%
Vantagem +0.306%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%60.18%60.55%62.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.571.571.6665.36%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.18%E +0.843%K +1.37%G +0.030%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 20:04
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.00%E +0.391%K +0.642%G +0.006%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.183%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 20:00
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:00
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 20:05
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 14:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 19:50
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:10
MyBookie.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 15:38
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 21:15
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:04
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 10:29
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.507%E +0.306%K +0.769%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-16 19:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:19
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:34
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:40
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -2.92%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.098%E -0.059%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 19:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-05-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-16 13:05
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-05-16 20:05