مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-16 20:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.45%2.53السعر العادل
EV +2.18%
الأفضلية +0.843%
Kelly +1.37%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.44%39.82%39.45%42.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.432.452.5945.45%41.17%40.82%38.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.55%1.65السعر العادل
EV +0.507%
الأفضلية +0.306%
Kelly +0.769%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.59%60.18%60.55%62.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.571.571.6665.36%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.18%E +0.843%K +1.37%G +0.030%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 20:04
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.00%E +0.391%K +0.642%G +0.006%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.183%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 20:00
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:00
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 20:05
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 14:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 19:50
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:10
MyBookie.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 15:38
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 21:15
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:04
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 10:29
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.507%E +0.306%K +0.769%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-16 19:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:19
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:34
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:40
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -2.92%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.098%E -0.059%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 19:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-05-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-16 13:05
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-05-16 20:05