La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 39.45%2.53momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.843%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.44%39.82%39.45%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.452.5945.45%41.17%40.82%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 60.55%1.65momio equitativo
EV +0.507%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.769%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%60.18%60.55%62.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.571.6665.36%63.54%63.69%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.18%E +0.843%K +1.37%G +0.030% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.00%E +0.391%K +0.642%G +0.006% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.183%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Bovada | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ReBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 12:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 15:38 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 10:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.507%E +0.306%K +0.769%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -2.92%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.098%E -0.059%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 19:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |