L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 20:06 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 39.45%2.53cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.843%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%39.82%39.45%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.452.5945.45%41.17%40.82%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.55%1.65cote équitable
EV +0.507%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.769%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%60.18%60.55%62.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6665.36%63.54%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.18%E +0.843%K +1.37%G +0.030%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 20:04
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.00%E +0.391%K +0.642%G +0.006%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.212%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 20:00
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.183%E -0.072%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 20:00
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:00
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 19:35
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 20:05
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 14:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 19:50
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:10
MyBookie.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 15:38
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 21:15
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.13%E -1.70%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:04
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 07:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 10:29
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.507%E +0.306%K +0.769%G +0.004%2.1%2026-05-16 19:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:19
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:34
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:40
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -2.92%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.098%E -0.059%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 19:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-05-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-16 20:05
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-16 13:05
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-05-16 20:05
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-05-16 20:05