Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 70.47%1.42fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%70.39%70.50%71.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.73%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.61%29.50%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.19%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 70.47%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 29.53%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.34%E -0.957%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.85%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-01 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.45%E -2.52%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 17:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.25% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.75% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |