语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 70.47%1.42公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.957%
Kelly -3.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
68.65%70.39%70.50%71.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.73%73.53%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 29.53%3.39公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.322%
Kelly -0.459%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.48%29.61%29.50%31.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.19%31.25%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：70.47%；Washington Nationals (客队)：29.53%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.35，期望值为-1.08%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.34%E -0.957%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.85%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-01 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.45%E -2.52%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 17:01 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-04-01 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.25% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.75% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |