Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-04-01 17:07 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 70.47%1.42odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.957%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.65%70.39%70.50%71.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.73%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 29.53%3.39odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.459%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.48%29.61%29.50%31.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.19%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 70.47%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 29.53%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.35, com valor esperado de -1.08%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.34%E -0.957%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.85%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:04
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 17:04
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.45%E -2.52%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 17:04
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:04
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 17:04
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 17:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60%0.1%2026-04-01 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.25%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.75%1.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-01 17:05