La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-04-01 17:07 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 70.47%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.65%70.39%70.50%71.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.73%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 29.53%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.322%
Kelly -0.459%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%29.61%29.50%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.19%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.34%E -0.957%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.85%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:04
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.05%E -1.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 17:04
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.75%E -1.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.45%E -2.52%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 17:04
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:04
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:03
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:04
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.28%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.16%E -3.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.55%E -0.774%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:04
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:04
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:04
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.86%E -3.60%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 17:05
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.57%E -4.16%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.37%E -0.411%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:05
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:04
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 17:04
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 17:04
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.27%E -4.72%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 17:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60%0.1%2026-04-01 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.25%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.75%1.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-01 17:05