The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 22:06 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 61.21%1.63fair odd
EV +0.999%
Edge +0.606%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%61.17%61.30%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.6568.97%64.32%64.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV +0.850%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%38.83%38.70%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.482.6043.48%40.46%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 61.21%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 38.79%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.999%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.999%E +0.606%K +1.54%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 04:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.225%E -0.138%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 12:14
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -0.837%E -0.517%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-08 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.62%E -4.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:39
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.62%E -4.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%EV -0.314%E -0.122%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-08 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -2.25%E -0.894%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 19:34
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -0.314%E -0.122%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 20:39
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -0.702%E -0.274%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.48%E -0.582%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.48%E -0.582%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 21:39
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.25%E -0.894%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 20:29
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.58%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 20:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:49
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.58%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 21:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 21:53
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.85%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.8%2026-08-08 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.8%2026-08-08 20:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:34
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.68%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.46%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 21:37
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.85%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.18%E -5.46%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.79%E -5.90%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.79%E -5.90%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -11.24%E -7.75%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-08-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:45
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-08 13:34
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-08 22:05
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-08 22:05
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-08 22:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-08 22:00
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-08 21:45