Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-08 22:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.92%58.84%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.58%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.08%41.16%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.16%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.88%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 41.12%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.432. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.430, with an expected value of -0.072%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:14
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.83%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.072%E -0.029%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 19:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 19:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.97%E -4.41%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.56%E -4.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.15%E -5.23%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-08-08 01:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-07 22:30
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-07 22:45
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-08 01:35
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-08-08 00:25
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%3.4%2026-08-08 01:35
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-08-07 21:20