Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-08 22:06 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 58.88%1.70odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%58.92%58.84%60.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.56%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 41.12%2.43odd justa
EV -0.072%
Vantagem -0.029%
Kelly -0.050%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.85%41.08%41.16%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.13%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.88%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 41.12%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.432. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.430, com valor esperado de -0.072%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:14
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.072%E -0.029%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 19:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 01:45
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 19:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.97%E -4.41%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.56%E -4.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.15%E -5.23%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-08-08 01:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-07 22:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-08 02:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-08 01:50
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-08 02:25
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-08-08 01:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-08-07 21:20