Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

Inizio: 2026-08-08 22:06 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 61.21%1.63quota equa
EV +0.999%
Vantaggio +0.606%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.23%61.17%61.30%63.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.551.561.6568.97%64.32%64.31%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.79%2.58quota equa
EV +0.850%
Vantaggio +0.327%
Kelly +0.531%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.88%38.83%38.70%41.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.472.482.6043.48%40.46%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Philadelphia Phillies (Casa): 61.21%; Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta): 38.79%. Per Philadelphia Phillies (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.63. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.999%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.999%E +0.606%K +1.54%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 04:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.225%E -0.138%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 12:14
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -0.837%E -0.517%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-08 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.62%E -4.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:39
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.45%E -0.900%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.62%E -4.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%EV -0.314%E -0.122%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-08 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -2.25%E -0.894%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 19:34
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -0.314%E -0.122%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 20:39
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -0.702%E -0.274%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.48%E -0.582%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.48%E -0.582%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 21:39
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.25%E -0.894%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 20:29
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.58%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 20:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:49
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.58%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 21:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 21:53
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.85%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.8%2026-08-08 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.850%E +0.327%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.8%2026-08-08 20:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:34
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.68%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.46%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 21:37
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.85%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.18%E -5.46%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.79%E -5.90%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.79%E -5.90%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.09%E -0.427%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -11.24%E -7.75%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 20:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-08-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-08 21:45
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-08 13:34
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-08 22:05
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-08 22:05
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-08 22:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-08 22:00
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-08 21:45