Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-08 22:06 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 58.88%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.92%58.84%60.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.56%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.12%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.072%
Avantage -0.029%
Kelly -0.050%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%41.08%41.16%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.13%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 58.88% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 41.12%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.432. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.430, pour une espérance de -0.072% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:14
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.13%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 18:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.072%E -0.029%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 19:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 01:45
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.21%E -3.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 19:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.24%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.97%E -4.41%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.56%E -4.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.15%E -5.23%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-08-08 01:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-07 22:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-08 02:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-08 01:50
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-08 02:25
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-08-08 01:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-08-07 21:20