Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 3–2 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 67.00%1.49fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.04%67.04%66.98%67.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.431.431.4671.94%70.16%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 33.00%3.03fair odd
EV +0.640%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.07%32.96%33.02%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 67.00%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 33.00%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.640%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.640%E +0.210%K +0.312%G +0.002%2.2%2026-06-03 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.67%E -0.560%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:10
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 21:59
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:36
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 20:29
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:59
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:38
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:29
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 21:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:19
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:08
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 19:49
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 21:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 22:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 22:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.40%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.60%0.2%2026-06-03 22:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-03 21:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-03 22:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-06-03 22:19
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-06-03 22:40