La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-06-03 22:41 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 3–2 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 67.00%1.49quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.49%
Kelly -4.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.04%67.04%66.98%67.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.431.431.4671.94%70.16%69.93%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.00%3.03quota equa
EV +0.640%
Vantaggio +0.210%
Kelly +0.312%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.07%32.96%33.02%33.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.640%E +0.210%K +0.312%G +0.002%2.2%2026-06-03 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:20
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.67%E -0.560%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:10
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 21:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:36
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 20:29
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:59
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:38
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:29
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:20
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 21:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 20:20
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:19
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:59
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:08
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 19:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:19
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 21:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 20:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 22:38
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 22:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.40%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.60%0.2%2026-06-03 22:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-03 21:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-03 22:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-06-03 22:19
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-06-03 22:40