默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-06-03 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 3–2 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 67.00%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -1.49%
Kelly -4.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
66.04%67.04%66.98%67.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.431.431.4671.94%70.16%69.93%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 33.00%3.03公平赔率
EV +0.640%
优势 +0.210%
Kelly +0.312%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
32.07%32.96%33.02%33.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):67.00%;San Diego Padres (客队):33.00%。 对于“San Diego Padres (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.05,对应+0.640%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.640%E +0.210%K +0.312%G +0.002%2.2%2026-06-03 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.67%E -0.560%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:10
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 21:59
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:36
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 20:29
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:59
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:38
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:29
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 21:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:19
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:08
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 19:49
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 21:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 22:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 22:18
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.40%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.60%0.2%2026-06-03 22:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-03 21:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-03 22:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-06-03 22:19
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-06-03 22:40