L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 3–2 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 67.00%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -4.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.04%67.04%66.98%67.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.431.431.4671.94%70.16%69.93%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.00%3.03cote équitable
EV +0.640%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.312%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.07%32.96%33.02%33.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.640%E +0.210%K +0.312%G +0.002%2.2%2026-06-03 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.350%E -0.116%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 21:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:20
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.67%E -0.560%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:10
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 21:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.33%E -0.787%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:36
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 20:29
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:59
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:38
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:29
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 20:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:00
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:20
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 21:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 21:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 20:20
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:19
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:59
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:08
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 19:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:29
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 20:19
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 21:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 20:20
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:09
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 20:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 22:38
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 22:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.40%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.60%0.2%2026-06-03 22:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-03 22:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-03 21:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-03 22:40
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-06-03 22:19
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-06-03 22:40