Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 56.96%1.76fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.03%57.02%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7363.29%59.74%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%42.97%42.98%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.222.222.3047.39%45.02%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 56.96%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 43.04%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.19%E -4.36%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29% | 3.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |