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Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 56.96%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.45%
Преимущество -0.840%
Kelly -1.99%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.84%57.03%57.02%58.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.671.671.7363.29%59.74%59.88%57.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)
Прогноз 43.04%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.02%
Преимущество -0.442%
Kelly -0.782%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.77%42.97%42.98%44.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.112.222.222.3047.39%45.02%45.05%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 56.96%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости): 43.04%. Для исхода «Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.32. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.30, математическое ожидание — -1.02%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.19%E -4.36%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29% | 3.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |