La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 56.96%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.03%57.02%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.671.671.7363.29%59.74%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 43.04%2.32momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.442%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%42.97%42.98%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.112.222.222.3047.39%45.02%45.05%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 21:00 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:50 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 22:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.19%E -4.36%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 22:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29% | 3.1% | 2026-07-01 22:40 |