L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 10–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 56.96%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.03%57.02%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.671.671.7363.29%59.74%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.04%2.32cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%42.97%42.98%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.112.222.222.3047.39%45.02%45.05%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-01 22:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 21:00
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 20:20
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 22:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:40
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 22:20
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 22:40
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 22:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 22:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 22:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 20:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 20:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 22:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 14:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 22:39
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-01 22:20
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 22:20
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.75%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 22:30
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 21:40
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 22:19
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.46%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 22:20
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 22:39
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 22:20
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 22:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:30
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.19%E -4.36%K -8.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 22:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 22:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 22:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 22:38
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-07-01 22:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 22:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-01 22:30
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-07-01 22:39
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-01 22:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-07-01 22:40