Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 63.34%1.58fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.69%63.27%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.12%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 36.66%2.73fair odd
EV -0.664%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.73%36.59%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.602.602.7140.32%38.51%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 63.34%; New York Mets (Visit): 36.66%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -0.664%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 07:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 13:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-20 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-06-20 22:58 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-20 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-20 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-06-20 23:10 |