La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-06-20 23:16 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 15–3 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 63.34%1.58quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -3.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.69%63.27%63.41%64.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.12%66.23%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.66%2.73quota equa
EV -0.664%
Vantaggio -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.47%36.73%36.59%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.482.602.602.7140.32%38.51%38.46%36.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 13:19
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 07:19
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 22:59
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 19:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 01:39
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 13:18
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 22:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 22:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 19:20
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:58
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 22:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 17:59
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:49
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:39
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:09
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 20:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 12:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:19
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 13:19
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 20:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-06-20 23:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-20 22:58
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-20 23:10