مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-06-20 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 15–3 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.34%1.58السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -3.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.69%63.27%63.41%64.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.12%66.23%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.66%2.73السعر العادل
EV -0.664%
الأفضلية -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.47%36.73%36.59%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.602.602.7140.32%38.51%38.46%36.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 13:19
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 07:19
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 22:59
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 19:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 01:39
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 13:18
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 22:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 22:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 19:20
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:58
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 22:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 17:59
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:49
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:39
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:09
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 20:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 12:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:19
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 13:19
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 20:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-06-20 23:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-20 22:58
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-20 23:10