默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

开赛时间: 2026-06-20 23:16 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 15–3 New York Mets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 63.34%1.58公平赔率
EV -1.82%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -3.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
61.69%63.27%63.41%64.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.12%66.23%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 36.66%2.73公平赔率
EV -0.664%
优势 -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.71

博彩公司预测分布
35.47%36.73%36.59%38.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.602.602.7140.32%38.51%38.46%36.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):63.34%;New York Mets (客队):36.66%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.71,期望值为-0.664%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 07:19
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.09%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.664%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 22:59
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 19:19
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 01:39
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 13:18
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.03%E -0.382%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.50%E -0.939%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 19:20
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:58
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 17:59
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 20:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 11:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:19
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.10%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 20:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-06-20 23:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-20 22:58
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 22:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-20 23:10