Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 69.63%1.44fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.54%69.66%70.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.78%72.73%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV +0.814%
Edge +0.245%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.49%30.46%30.34%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.153.3235.71%31.81%31.75%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 69.63%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 30.37%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.814%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.34%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.66%EV +0.814%E +0.245%K +0.351%G +0.003% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -1.12%E -0.788%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.097%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -0.401%E -0.122%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -0.705%E -0.216%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.55%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:27 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |