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Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 69.63%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.788%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%69.54%69.66%70.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.78%72.73%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.814%
Ventaja +0.245%
Kelly +0.351%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%30.46%30.34%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.153.3235.71%31.81%31.75%30.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 69.63%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 30.37%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.814%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.34%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.66%EV +0.814%E +0.245%K +0.351%G +0.003% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -1.12%E -0.788%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.097%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -0.401%E -0.122%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -0.705%E -0.216%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.55%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:27 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |