语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 69.63%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.788%
Kelly -2.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.67%69.54%69.66%70.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.78%72.73%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Marlins (客队)
预测 30.37%3.29公平赔率
EV +0.814%
优势 +0.245%
Kelly +0.351%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
29.49%30.46%30.34%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.143.153.3235.71%31.81%31.75%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：69.63%；Miami Marlins (客队)：30.37%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.32，对应+0.814%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.34%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.66%EV +0.814%E +0.245%K +0.351%G +0.003% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -1.12%E -0.788%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.097%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -0.401%E -0.122%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -0.705%E -0.216%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.55%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:27 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |