Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-17 22:42 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 6–5 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 69.63%1.44odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.788%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%69.54%69.66%70.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.78%72.73%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 30.37%3.29odd justa
EV +0.814%
Vantagem +0.245%
Kelly +0.351%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.49%30.46%30.34%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.143.153.3235.71%31.81%31.75%30.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 69.63%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 30.37%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.32, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.814%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.34%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.66%EV +0.814%E +0.245%K +0.351%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-17 22:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -1.12%E -0.788%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%0.7%2026-08-17 22:19
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +0.206%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -0.097%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -0.401%E -0.122%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:34
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -0.705%E -0.216%K -0.310%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 22:23
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-17 22:20
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.21%E -2.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-17 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 22:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.92%E -0.594%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:34
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:24
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:30
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.83%E -0.884%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 22:19
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 21:44
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:29
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 22:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -4.65%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-17 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 13:35
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:24
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 03:04
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.60%E -3.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.55%K -22.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 22:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 12:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.89%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.99%E -4.44%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:29
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:23
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.69%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:23
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 10:04
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.90%E -2.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.69%E -4.99%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.51%E -1.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 22:27
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81%3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19%0.2%2026-08-17 22:34
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-17 22:05
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-17 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-17 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-17 22:05
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-08-17 22:15
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-17 17:30
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-17 15:10
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-17 22:15