Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 63.66%1.57fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.95%63.76%63.75%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.92%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 36.34%2.75fair odd
EV +0.293%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%36.24%36.25%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.652.652.7639.22%37.67%37.74%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 63.66%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 36.34%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.293%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.293%E +0.106%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.52%E -0.563%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 21:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-15 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-15 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.32%E -0.854%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -3.34%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 22:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75% | 2.7% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |