A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-06-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7–0 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 63.66%1.57odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.854%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.95%63.76%63.75%65.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.92%66.67%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 36.34%2.75odd justa
EV +0.293%
Vantagem +0.106%
Kelly +0.166%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.68%36.24%36.25%37.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.652.652.7639.22%37.67%37.74%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.293%E +0.106%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 22:39
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.52%E -0.563%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 22:39
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 21:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 22:19
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.32%E -0.854%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-15 21:40
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -3.34%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 22:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:29
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 16:50
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:19
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:16
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 15:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 19:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 20:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 15:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 21:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:29
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 20:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 21:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 22:20
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-06-15 22:40