La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-06-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7–0 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 63.66%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.854%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.95%63.76%63.75%65.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.92%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 36.34%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.293%
Ventaja +0.106%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.68%36.24%36.25%37.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.652.652.7639.22%37.67%37.74%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.293%E +0.106%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 22:39
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.52%E -0.563%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 22:39
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 21:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 22:19
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.32%E -0.854%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-15 21:40
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -3.34%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 22:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:29
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 16:50
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:19
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:16
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 15:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 19:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 20:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 15:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 21:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:29
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 20:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 21:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 22:20
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-06-15 22:40