مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-15 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 7–0 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.66%1.57السعر العادل
EV -1.32%
الأفضلية -0.854%
Kelly -2.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.95%63.76%63.75%65.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.491.501.5569.44%66.92%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.34%2.75السعر العادل
EV +0.293%
الأفضلية +0.106%
Kelly +0.166%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.68%36.24%36.25%37.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.652.652.7639.22%37.67%37.74%36.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +0.293%E +0.106%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 22:39
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.071%E -0.026%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.52%E -0.563%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 22:39
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 21:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 22:19
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 22:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.61%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.32%E -0.854%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-15 21:40
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -3.34%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 22:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:29
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 16:50
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.43%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 22:19
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:16
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 21:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 22:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 15:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.60%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 19:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 20:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 15:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 21:30
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 22:29
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.87%E -2.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.61%E -2.57%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.51%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-15 22:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 20:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 21:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-15 22:20
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-06-15 22:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-06-15 22:40
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-06-15 22:39
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-06-15 22:40