Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 51.22%1.95fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.24%51.05%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.851.9357.47%54.31%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)
Prediction 48.78%2.05fair odd
EV +0.496%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.468%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%48.76%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.961.962.0654.35%50.93%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 51.22%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 48.78%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.496%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.496%E +0.241%K +0.468%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.480%E -0.235%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 23:22 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-21 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -9.86%E -5.60%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 23:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -10.88%E -6.26%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 23:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.24%E -5.56%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |