Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 00:01 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 51.22%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.598%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.24%51.05%53.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.841.851.9357.47%54.31%54.05%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.78%2.05cote équitable
EV +0.496%
Avantage +0.241%
Kelly +0.468%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.98%48.76%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.961.962.0654.35%50.93%51.02%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 51.22% ; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur) : 48.78%. Pour Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.05. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.06, soit une espérance positive de +0.496%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.496%E +0.241%K +0.468%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.480%E -0.235%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:22
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 23:50
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-21 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -9.86%E -5.60%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:48
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -10.88%E -6.26%K -14.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:00
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:39
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.24%E -5.56%K -12.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-21 21:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%10.4%2026-07-22 00:00