La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-07-22 00:01 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 51.22%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.598%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.24%51.05%53.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.851.9357.47%54.31%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 48.78%2.05momio equitativo
EV +0.496%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.468%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.98%48.76%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.961.962.0654.35%50.93%51.02%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.496%E +0.241%K +0.468%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.480%E -0.235%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:25
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:22
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 23:50
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-21 23:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 23:20
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:45
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -9.86%E -5.60%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:20
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:00
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:48
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -10.88%E -6.26%K -14.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:00
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:36
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.24%E -5.56%K -12.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-21 21:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%10.4%2026-07-22 00:00