La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inizio: 2026-07-22 00:01 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 51.22%1.95quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.598%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.24%51.05%53.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.841.851.9357.47%54.31%54.05%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.78%2.05quota equa
EV +0.496%
Vantaggio +0.241%
Kelly +0.468%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.98%48.76%48.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.961.962.0654.35%50.93%51.02%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.496%E +0.241%K +0.468%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.480%E -0.235%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 23:25
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:25
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:22
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.32%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.46%E -0.721%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 23:50
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-21 23:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 23:20
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:05
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 23:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.41%E -1.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.15%E -0.598%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:45
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 00:00
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -9.86%E -5.60%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:20
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:00
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:48
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:20
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -10.88%E -6.26%K -14.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -5.36%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:00
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.85%E -3.03%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:36
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.75%E -5.27%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.24%E -5.56%K -12.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-22 00:00
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-21 23:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-22 00:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-21 21:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%10.4%2026-07-22 00:00