语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 60.65%1.65公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -3.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
59.80%60.75%60.64%63.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.571.6166.67%64.20%63.69%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cleveland Guardians (客队)
预测 39.35%2.54公平赔率
EV +3.50%
优势 +1.33%
Kelly +2.14%
增长率 +0.075%
假设最高赔率为 2.63
博彩公司预测分布
36.74%39.25%39.36%40.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.482.462.6342.19%40.25%40.65%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：60.65%；Cleveland Guardians (客队)：39.35%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.54。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.63，对应+3.50%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.50%E +1.33%K +2.14%G +0.075% | 3.0% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.440%E -0.174%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.01%E -0.809%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 19:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |