La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 60.65%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%60.75%60.64%63.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.571.6166.67%64.20%63.69%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 39.35%2.54momio equitativo
EV +3.50%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.74%39.25%39.36%40.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.482.462.6342.19%40.25%40.65%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.50%E +1.33%K +2.14%G +0.075% | 3.0% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 18:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.440%E -0.174%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| Everygame | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.01%E -0.809%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 20:39 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 19:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 19:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 22:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 21:59 |