Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-05-23 22:01 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 3–0 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 60.65%1.65quota equa
EV -2.36%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.80%60.75%60.64%63.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.561.571.6166.67%64.20%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.35%2.54quota equa
EV +3.50%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescita +0.075%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.74%39.25%39.36%40.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.372.482.462.6342.19%40.25%40.65%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Philadelphia Phillies (Casa): 60.65%; Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta): 39.35%. Per Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.54. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.63, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.50%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.50%E +1.33%K +2.14%G +0.075%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.440%E -0.174%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 21:50
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:08
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.01%E -0.809%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:19
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 21:39
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 21:49
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 20:19
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 20:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 20:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:48
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66%0.6%2026-05-23 21:49
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-23 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-23 22:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-05-23 21:59