A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-05-23 22:01 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 3–0 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 60.65%1.65odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.80%60.75%60.64%63.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.571.6166.67%64.20%63.69%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 39.35%2.54odd justa
EV +3.50%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.74%39.25%39.36%40.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.372.482.462.6342.19%40.25%40.65%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.50%E +1.33%K +2.14%G +0.075%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.31%E +0.890%K +1.45%G +0.033%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.347%E +0.136%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.440%E -0.174%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 21:50
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:08
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.62%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:08
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.01%E -0.809%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 20:09
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.41%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 21:39
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 20:19
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 20:09
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 21:49
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 20:19
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 20:19
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 20:09
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:19
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:19
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:09
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 20:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:48
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66%0.6%2026-05-23 21:49
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-23 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-23 22:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-05-23 21:59