Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 23:21 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 2–4 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.94%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0353.19%51.34%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV +0.053%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9655.56%53.42%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 48.95%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 51.05%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.959. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.960, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.053%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.053%E +0.027%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 23:15
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 23:00
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:30
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.626%E -0.309%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:58
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:10
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 23:20
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 23:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 48.51%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.49%-0.4%2026-04-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-19 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 23:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 22:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%3.1%2026-04-19 23:20