La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Inizio: 2026-04-19 23:21 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 2–4 Atlanta Braves

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 48.95%2.04quota equa
EV -0.626%
Vantaggio -0.309%
Kelly -0.608%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.94%48.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.951.952.0353.19%51.34%51.28%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.05%1.96quota equa
EV +0.053%
Vantaggio +0.027%
Kelly +0.055%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9655.56%53.42%53.48%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.053%E +0.027%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 22:10
theScore Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 23:15
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 23:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:30
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.626%E -0.309%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 23:05
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:01
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:20
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 23:19
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:13
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 23:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:58
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:10
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:01
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 23:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 23:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 23:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 48.51%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.49%-0.4%2026-04-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-19 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 23:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 22:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%3.1%2026-04-19 23:20