默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-04-19 23:21 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 2–4 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 48.95%2.04公平赔率
EV -0.626%
优势 -0.309%
Kelly -0.608%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.94%48.95%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.951.952.0353.19%51.34%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 51.05%1.96公平赔率
EV +0.053%
优势 +0.027%
Kelly +0.055%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9655.56%53.42%53.48%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):48.95%;Atlanta Braves (客队):51.05%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.959。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.960,对应+0.053%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.053%E +0.027%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.48%E -0.766%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 23:15
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 23:00
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:30
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.626%E -0.309%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:58
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:10
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 23:20
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 23:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 48.51%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.49%-0.4%2026-04-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-19 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 23:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-19 22:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%3.1%2026-04-19 23:20